Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118 0.000125 0.000133 0.000142 0.000151
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000105 0.000114 0.000125 0.000138 0.000153 0.000171
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000099 0.000110 0.000124 0.000140 0.000160 0.000186
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000096 0.000108 0.000124 0.000145 0.000170 0.000206
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000094 0.000108 0.000126 0.000151 0.000182 0.000229
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000089 0.000104 0.000124 0.000150 0.000186 0.000240
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000085 0.000099 0.000120 0.000147 0.000185 0.000245
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000081 0.000096 0.000117 0.000145 0.000186 0.000252
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000077 0.000091 0.000112 0.000140 0.000182 0.000251
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000091 0.000112 0.000143 0.000189 0.000269
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091 0.000114 0.000148 0.000200 0.000295
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000115 0.000151 0.000208 0.000317
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000074 0.000091 0.000117 0.000157 0.000223 0.000355
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089 0.000116 0.000158 0.000228 0.000376
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000070 0.000087 0.000114 0.000158 0.000232 0.000394
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000069 0.000087 0.000115 0.000161 0.000242 0.000430
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000116 0.000166 0.000257 0.000481
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000114 0.000164 0.000258 0.000497
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082 0.000111 0.000160 0.000253 0.000496
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000108 0.000157 0.000251 0.000504
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000103 0.000151 0.000242 0.000487
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000104 0.000154 0.000252 0.000531
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000059 0.000076 0.000106 0.000158 0.000266 0.000597